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The Fog of Corporate Accounting
By Stephen J. Butler
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Choosing the subject matter for this column is not entirely random. As a general rule, the process starts with the week's financial event that prompts me to feel the most indignant.

In the middle of a golf game, an investment banker upset a friend of mine by pointing out that major U.S. companies have been "cooking the books" routinely for years. General Electric, a highly venerated company, was one of the worst offenders. Coincidentally, when I heard this I had just finished reading Jack Welch's autobiography, "Straight From the Gut." As the former CEO and Chairman of GE, Jack is quite full of himself, so I found the book to be tedious but still compelling.

One passage recounts the time that Jack made one of his few really bad decisions when GE bought Kidder Peabody, the brokerage firm. Soon after the purchase, GE had to take a $350 million loss because of some fraudulent activity. Welch points out that managers elsewhere at GE were understanding and offered to fill in the Kidder gap. "Some said they could find an extra $10 million, $20 million, and even $30 million from their businesses to offset the surprise."

How does someone in the corporate world "find" an extra $30 million dollars? On a personal level, when we look at our checkbooks, we either have cash in our account or we don't. In the world of accounting, however, there are two acceptable formats for keeping track of a company's accounting, "cash" or "accrual."

Cash-basis accounting determines a company's well-being by simply measuring whatever cash is in the account at the end of any period. A company sells products or services, collects revenue, and meanwhile pays what it costs to manufacture, stock, or service what they sell. Any cash left over is profit.

The government argues that this doesn't really reflect what the company might have in profit because it is too easy for a company to adjust its billing at the end of a year. In the small business environment, companies can leave checks in the drawer and cash them after the end of the year to avoid having that last few weeks of revenue which could otherwise have amounted to their entire year's taxable profit.

Accrual-based accounting forces companies to recognize a sale (and income) when they receive an order rather than when they actually get paid. Using this accounting technique, companies also recognize expenses when they receive, for example, the raw materials they use rather than when they pay for them. In theory, accrual-based accounting can be more accurate in a world where companies are paying for services and selling their products with "90-day terms" or substantial delays in the receipt or payment of money.

Unfortunately, accrual based accounting offers more opportunity to "cook the books" in an effort to make a company look more profitable than reality or cash accounting would dictate. Enron, as part of an experimental high-tech service, wired one building for Blockbuster at a cost of a few hundred thousand dollars and booked a "sale" worth $150 million. Companies in the computer industry routinely implore customers to place orders by the end of the quarter for as much product as their collective conscience will allow. The promise is that the orders will be rescinded after the end of the quarter if the customer wants to reverse a portion of the deal. In the meantime, no product goes anywhere but the quarterly numbers will look good enough to support bonuses and prop up stock prices. Finally, the most egregious by-product of accrual-based accounting is the occasional practice of filling boxes with bricks. This has been known to trick auditors into believing that real sales are going out the door. Cash-basis accounting would have left no room for this misrepresentation.

When it comes to measuring a business success, then, there is no substitute for a record of the cash actually flowing through. Sooner or later, regardless of the accounting treatment, a company will either be running out of cash and having to borrow more, or it will be awash in extra excess cash.

Accrual-based accounting just conditions the atmosphere for a corporate version of Napoleon's "fog of war." Sooner or later, however, the chickens come home to roost, and that's when companies announce their massive layoffs, the spin-off of unprofitable ventures, or bankruptcy. Fortunately for many in management, this usually happens after they have managed to take their bonuses and have moved on to other opportunities. We stockholders, however, are rarely so fortunate, because those roosting chickens can come as a big surprise after a compounding accumulation of inflated quarters.

Our Securities Exchange Commission, headed by a former lobbyist of the accounting profession, is working surprisingly hard with limited resources to ferret out corporate abuses. They have doubled the usual number of inquiries within just the past few months. The SEC, like the IRS, is probably one of the best investments we can make with our tax dollars. A loss of public confidence in the stock market takes years to recover, and some of us preparing for retirement may not have that many years. If the SEC can help to boost public confidence, we all benefit.

On another front, institutional shareholders who met in New York last week are launching an attack on the current inadequate tax and reporting treatment on stock options. If these compensation tools continue to be issued at their current pace, they will cost stockholders an estimated 3 to 4 percent PER YEAR of equity value. This could happen during an era when high price earnings ratios dictate only 6-8% returns (if we're lucky) for the foreseeable future.

All these factors point to improved corporate governance and greater stockholder value in the future. In the meantime, with markets slumping or flat, there are continuing opportunities to load up on equity investments. Frankly, I'm in no real hurry to see these issues resolved as long as I'm seeing progress. If the uncertainty is prolonged, today's buying opportunity will just last that much longer.


BUYandHOLD does not recommend any securities. The securities mentioned above are being used for illustrative purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy.

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