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We're
Castaways in a Sea of Finance
By
Stephen J. Butler |
Archives |
Recent events
in the financial world illustrate how difficult it is to access
objective, unbiased financial advice. There are no simple answers
to our complicated needs. To make matters worse, there is no one
to help us whose interests are 100% aligned with ours. In the
end, we are our own best counsel, and there is no substitute for
a mix of education and healthy skepticism.
How do I support
this contention? Let's start with fifteen year old Jonathan Lebed
in New Jersey who, starting with proceeds of an $8,000 savings
bond, made $800,000 in six months. Obsessed with the stock market,
he researched companies extensively and even had his mother drive
him around to various corporate headquarters to see if they really
existed. After he came in fourth in a national stock-picking contest
of high school students, his home page had over seven hundred
people hitting the sight for his stock tips.
At some point,
he learned that the prices of thinly-traded stocks could be influenced
positively when even a relatively small group of investors were
bidding up the price. The prices of stocks, remember, are determined
by what stock traders buying and selling on a given day happen
to be bidding and asking. If relatively few shares in a small
company are offered for sale, and someone is anxious to buy, the
price can rise dramatically. The price of the last transaction
determines what all stock in the entire company is worth at the
end of that particular day, and this practice is referred to as
"marking to market."
Well, Jonathan
described in enthusiastic tones the future, as he saw it, for
the stocks he was purchasing. On some days, he would register
his beliefs on as many as 200 different web sites. In many of
these postings, he was simply paraphrasing the jargon of Wall
Street analysts. His web site postings offer a parody of Wall
Street analysts.
An article by
Michael Lewis in the New York Times Sunday Magazine last February
25th offers a wonderfully readable chronicle of what happened
next. Truth is stranger than fiction. The Securities Exchange
Commission (SEC), formed in the 1930s to protect the public against
stock manipulation, called Jonathan and asked that he report to
their New York offices. In the end, after a lot of wrangling,
they made him pay back about $200,000 of the $800,000. What about
the other $600,000?
The other $600,000
managed to get some traction on that vast slippery slope of self-interest
versus integrity that makes up the industry's self-policing effort.
Earlier this
year, in New York, a pediatrician sued Merrill Lynch's internet
analyst, Henry Blodget, for losses and punitive damages totaling
$10 million. Mr. Blodget had been promoting JDS Uniphase and InfoSpace
which have both plummeted. The suit contends that what Mr. Blodget
did not disclose was that Merrill Lynch was the investment banking
advisor for a purchase of InfoSpace by Go2Net. The purchase, which
would have generated a huge fee to Merrill Lynch, required that
the stock price of InfoSpace remain above a certain level, and
this may have colored Mr. Blodget's thinking. FORTUNE recently
covered a story about an analyst who had been fired for opinions
that stood in the way of his employer's investment banking business.
The article triggered a flood of letters from readers sympathetic
to the analyst.
In theory, the
investment banking world is now supposed to maintain a "Chinese
Wall" separating the information between investment banking
and securities sales departments. Years ago, however, I was riding
up a ski lift with a Wall Street banker who said that a colleague,
who later went to jail along with Ivan Boesky, once told him that
he was never sorry that a merger involving a major automobile
parts manufacturer never went through. He had made millions trading
the stock on the rumor that he had created by the proposed merger
activity. Meanwhile, a business school classmate of mine, working
for a regional brokerage firm in San Francisco years ago, quit
his job when the managing partner seized from everyone's desk
an analyst's report urging a "sell" on a Bay Area stock
the firm had taken public.
This time it's
different? I don't think so. In the news this year was "Tokyo
Joe," a burrito store owner who settled his case with the
SEC by paying $754,630. He had been practicing the same behavior
as Jonathan Lebed, but to Jonathan's credit, Mr. Yun Soo Oh Park
had been charging 4,000 clients as much as $600 per month for
advice. Unfortunately, he was practicing the advice himself before
offering the stock picks to clients. This is clearly illegal.
While 4,000 people were paying him for advice, he claimed that
he was not an investment advisor (as defined by the SEC) but was
simply exercising his right to free speech. In the new economy,
which includes people chatting all over the web, Mr. Park enjoyed
at least a toe-hold of rationale for his behavior. This has probably
kept him out of the slammer while it prompts law school classes
to revisit First Amendment rights.
Meanwhile, some
mutual funds encourage their analysts to invest in the companies
they recommend and other fund families forbid the practice. We
can argue that someone should put their money where their mouth
is. On the other hand, we have nothing more than a large scale
version of the practice that got "Tokyo Joe" and Jonathan
Lebed into trouble.
What's the SEC
to do? In a difficult world where lines are clearly blurred, it
is a Herculean task to determine what is for or against the public
interest. Is the glass half empty or half full? We read about
our regulatory bodies and the extent to which they have failed
to prevent an abuse from taking place. On the other hand, we have
what is arguably the world's most "squeaky-clean" financial
marketplace. Japan's, by comparison, just reeks with self-dealing
behavior that has driven their public away from equities markets.
This, combined with a hopelessly corrupt political system, is
a major factor in the stalled recovery of their economy.
Regulatory action
is an important deterrent to illegal activity. Most financial
services professionals do not want to spend time in jail or even
court. When arresting a white collar suspect, the FBI has a practice
of sending four agents for each alleged perpetrator because the
strength in numbers helps avoid a scene. Years ago at Kidder Peabody,
the Feds made a point of slapping handcuffs on everybody they
escorted from the building. People who give to the opera and make
upwards of $1,000,000 a year think first before exposing themselves
to the potential for that level of humiliation.
As Teddy Roosevelt
said, "Speak softly and carry a big stick." Thanks to
our regulatory bodies, we have a reasonably level playing field
upon which to invest, but getting objective advice is sometimes
a struggle. Continue to absorb as much financial education as
possible and search, through friends and referrals, for a good
financial planner, money manager or broker if you feel you need
additional help. Never hesitate to ask tough questions of anyone
with whom you choose to work. On at least some level, those of
us who act on bad advice have only ourselves to blame.
BUYandHOLD does
not offer or provide any investment advice or opinion regarding
the nature, potential, value, suitability or profitability of
any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction
or investment strategy. Any investment decisions you make will
be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances,
investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. The
securities mentioned above are being used for informational and
illustrative purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer
to sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy and past performance
is no guarantee of future results. The opinions expressed above
are not necessarily those of BUYandHOLD, its officers, directors
or any of its affiliates.
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