|
Week
in Review
For
the week 11/20/2006 - 11/24/2006
Brian Trumbore
President/Editor, StocksandNews.com
Crisis
It was
another horrible week for planet Earth with zero cause for
optimism the situation will improve anytime soon.
After
Thursday's horrific attacks on the Baghdad Shia slum of Sadr
City which killed over 200, radical cleric Moqtada Sadr told
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki that if he met with President
Bush in Jordan on Monday, Sadr would pull his bloc out of
parliament. Sadr went on to say that Americans kill his people
at night and Sunnis kill them by day. I will forever maintain
the Bush administration was right to take out Saddam and that
somehow we had to begin to change the dynamic in the region.
But through amazing incompetence and arrogance we have turned
the Middle East into more of a seething cauldron of hate than
it has ever been in modern history.
I have
also been writing for years now that U.S. credibility was
at stake and today America is increasingly irrelevant.
So what
now? In Iraq, the government is under unbelievable pressure
and we'll learn an awful lot in just the next 48-72 hours
as to whether it will even survive to see 2007.
This week
Syria established full diplomatic relations with Iraq, agreeing
that U.S. troops should stay for now, but the biggest immediate
issue is whether Syria will tighten its borders. Then Iran
said it wanted to hold a conference with Iraq and Syria this
weekend, leaving many to wonder why it is that Iran and Syria
are setting the agenda and not the White House?
Of course
all this maneuvering transpired before the assassination of
Pierre Gemayel, a key member of Lebanon's fragile government.
Gemayel was killed by Syria or its acolytes, namely Hizbullah,
in an attempt to bring down the pro-West government of Prime
Minister Fouad Siniora. So should Washington even be meeting
with Syria in the first place?
I have
steadfastly said it is criminal the way the Bush administration
has treated Lebanon since the Cedar Revolution in the spring
of 2005 that removed Syrian troops from Lebanon. The U.S.
played an important role in installing a democratically elected
representative government and then forgot about Lebanon the
next day. President Bush allowed Israel to destroy the country
under the guise of defeating Hizbullah and instead made Sheikh
Nasrallah more powerful. Every freedom-loving person should
shed a tear for Lebanon and it's sickening to hear Bush now
say the country has "our unwavering commitment." In essence,
you want a friend? Go buy a dog.
The United
States hasn't been an honest broker in the Middle East since
the first day of the Bush presidency and it's going to haunt
Americans for decades to come.
---
Following
are thoughts on the latest crisis in Lebanon.
Michael
Young of the Daily Star (Beirut), in an op-ed for The Wall
Street Journal.
"British
Prime Minister Tony Blair recently sent a senior adviser,
Sir Nigel Sheinwald, to Damascus for a chat. The visit, reportedly
approved by Washington, aimed to see if Syria could be enticed
away from Iran. If The Economist is correct, and the magazine
spoke to Mr. Sheinwald upon his return, (Syrian President
Bashir Assad) has four conditions: an end to the Hariri investigation,
a guarantee that the U.S. would not undermine his regime,
a return of Syrian influence in Lebanon, and the handing back
of the Golan Heights, occupied by Israel in 1967. No doubt
Mr. Assad would demand much the same from the U.S. if it ran
to Damascus to 'engage' him on Iraq, assuming the Syrian leader
would consider conceding to Washington in a moment of strength
what he refused when he was weak."
Mr. Young
wrote the above right before the Gemayel assassination, which
obviously complicates matters further.
Editorial
/ Daily Star [following the Syrian hit]
"There
is no such thing as a routine political killing, but Tuesday's
assassination of Lebanese Industry Minister Pierre Gemayel
threatens repercussions - and signals intentions - that are
nothing short of extraordinary?.
"There
must be no surrender to either the demands of a shadowy enemy
or the temptation to take revenge on him by targeting innocents
with no connection to the crime. Those who truly want Lebanon
to change for the better understand that this cannot happen
unless they unequivocally endorse due process and the rule
of law - especially on occasions when it is cruelly difficult
to do so."
Druze
leader Walid Jumblatt on the critical efforts to form an international
tribunal to try suspects in the killing of former prime minister
Rafik Hariri.
"Those
who fear the implementation of justice will obstruct the creation
of the tribunal, including (Syrian-backed President Emile)
Lahoud, who wants to protect himself or some of his officers."
Jumblatt called on Speaker Nabi Berri, a Hizbullah sympathizer,
to convene a parliamentary session to approve a UN draft for
the formation of the Hariri court, but had to acknowledge
this is unlikely. Then Jumblatt
said "I bluntly accuse the Syrian regime ?I expect more assassinations."
With the
recent resignation of six ministers, plus Gemayel's death,
the Lebanese Cabinet is down to 17 ministers from its original
roster of 24. Under the constitution, if one more minister
is killed or resigns Siniora's government loses its quorum
and the government falls. Jumblatt and the democracy forces
in Lebanon know Syria could easily gun for that final minister.
It's in Assad's interests to do so and prevent the tribunal
that will undoubtedly implicate him in one form or another.
But what
of Hizbullah and Sheikh Nasrallah, who until the assassination
was prepared to take to the streets in an attempt to overthrow
the government? Due to the period of mourning and the show
of support for the democracy forces, he has told his followers
to stay put until this coming week at the earliest. Nasrallah,
like Syria's Assad, is afraid the UN's tribunal will implicate
Hizbullah as well.
Back to
Iraq?former leader Iyad Allawi is making himself available
as a strong man. At this point this could be our best alternative.
He has vowed to crush the militias if given the chance, calling
for an entirely new chain of command for the Iraqi security
forces.
As for
the White House, it will be receiving suggestions from the
Pentagon, James Baker's study group, and a third view from
administration insiders.
The Pentagon
leaked three choices, among which was "Go long," meaning the
U.S. boosts troops short-term while stepping up training for
the long term; but this requires patience, now in short supply
among the American public.
Other
defenders of the original policy, such as Henry Kissinger
and Senator John McCain, continue to weigh in. Kissinger said
military victory was now "impossible" while both are in agreement
an early withdrawal would be "catastrophic." McCain at least
gets high marks for acting like a true leader, even if many
view his ideas as misguided.
Lastly,
it becomes clearer by the day that if there is to be any stability
in Baghdad, the road leads through Jerusalem. But again, it's
about U.S. credibility, of which there is none these days.
Can the White House recapture some of it? It would take an
amazing leap of faith to believe this can be so.
After
months of dithering, and with talks on Iran's nuclear ambitions
now stalled because of Russia's ongoing intransigence in protecting
its economic interests, Israel's own confidence in the White
House preventing Tehran from coming up with the bomb is bordering
on nil these days. At the same time, when it comes to the
Palestinian issue all Israel sees is a green light from President
Bush.
Of course
the Palestinians don't make it any easier on themselves, as
once again unity talks between Hamas and Fatah have broken
down. President Mahmoud Abbas wants to handle diplomacy while
Hamas would be in charge of day-to-day governing, but unless
economic sanctions are lifted this arrangement is untenable,
especially when Hamas continues to refuse to recognize Israel's
right to exist.
It was
also interesting this week that an Israeli advocacy group
issued a report that found 39% of land used by Jewish settlers
in the West Bank is private Palestinian property, a clear
violation of international and Israeli law. Many of the key
settlements are sitting on Palestinian land. The Israeli government
has long contended the settlements sat on "state land."
And as
if we don't already have enough to worry about, French soldiers
in Lebanon are being told they can shoot down Israeli jets
should they feel threatened. Israel cannot continue to violate
the ceasefire with impunity, but the White House just looks
the other way.
Wall
Street
This is
one of those weeks when we can keep the commentary brief.
There was no economic news of consequence and bond traders
were off Thursday and Friday. The biggest story, perhaps,
was the plight of the U.S. dollar and I have a few words on
that below. Otherwise, it's all about retail the next four
weeks and the consensus of Wall Street economists is that
we will see holiday sales in the 5% range. These same economists
also believe real estate is close to a bottom, but I'm going
to give this topic a rest for a week.
As for
2007, the White House has lowered its expectations for GDP
growth to 2.9%, though it forecasts an inflation rate of 2.3%.
That is the perfect goldilocks scenario, sports fans. 2.5%-
3.0% growth, 2% inflation. But some of us, such as PIMCO's
Bill Gross, see GDP in '07 more in the 1%-2% range, which
if true means corporate earnings will increasingly disappoint.
Globally,
however, until the popping of the real estate bubble hits
in earnest, the picture continues to look pretty good. Growth
in Asia, ex-China and Vietnam, is increasing at a 4%-6% clip
(Hong Kong just raised its '06 full year forecast to 6.5%
from 4.5%), while the outlook for Europe is still generally
good. But Europe's trade deficit with China is as much an
issue as China's with the U.S. and calls for protectionism
increase daily.
Meanwhile,
I might as well use the time to expound on the topic of the
haves vs. the have nots. There was a rather telling table
in the New York Times the other day looking at growth in income
(adjusted for inflation) for the period 1990-2004.
Top 0.1%...up
85%...$4,506,000 median
Top 1.0%...up
57%...$940,000
Bottom
90%...up 2%...$28,350
Last Sunday
Senator-elect Jim Webb, D-VA, was on "Meet the Press" and
Tim Russert quoted from an op-ed Webb had written the week
before for the Journal that I failed to get to last time.
Webb is bang on.
"The most
important - and unfortunately the least debated - issue in
politics today is our society's steady drift toward a class-
based system, the likes of which we have not seen since the
19th century. America's top tier has grown infinitely richer
and more removed over the past 25 years. It is not unfair
to say that they are literally living in a different country.
Few among them send their children to public schools; fewer
still send their loved ones to fight our wars. They own most
of our stocks, making the stock market an unreliable indicator
of the economic health of working people. The top 1% now takes
in an astounding 16% of national income, up from 8% in 1980.
The tax codes protect them, just as they protect corporate
America, through a vast system of loopholes.
"Incestuous
corporate boards regularly approve compensation packages for
chief executives and others that are out of logic's range?.When
I graduated from college in the 1960s, the average CEO made
20 times what the average worker made. Today, that CEO makes
400 times as much?.
"This
ever-widening divide is too often ignored or downplayed by
its beneficiaries. A sense of entitlement has set in among
elites, bordering on hubris. When I raised this issue with
corporate leaders during the recent political campaign, I
was met repeatedly with denials, and, from some, an overt
lack of concern for those who are falling behind. A troubling
arrogance is in the air among the nation's most fortunate.
Some shrug off large- scale economic and social dislocations
as the inevitable byproducts of the 'rough road of capitalism.'
Others claim that it's the fault of the worker or the public
education system, that the average American is simply not
up to the international challenge, that our education system
fails us, or that our workers have become spoiled by old notions
of corporate paternalism?.
"America's
elites need to understand this reality in terms of their own
self-interest?.
"If it
remains unchecked, this bifurcation of opportunities and advantages
along class lines has the potential to bring a period of political
unrest. Up to now, most American workers have simply been
worried about their job prospects. Once they understand that
there are (and were) clear alternatives to the policies that
have dislocated careers and altered futures, they will demand
more accountability from the leaders who have failed to protect
their interests."
Street
Bytes
--The
major averages finished mixed on the shortened trading week,
with the Dow Jones losing 0.5% to 12280, while Nasdaq picked
up 0.6% to close at 2460 and the S&P 500 lost a fraction of
a point. Once again Merger Monday powered the market higher,
initially, as Freeport McMoran Copper took a run at Phelps
Dodge, a reported $26 billion deal, Blackstone Group is seeking
to acquire Sam Zell's Equity Office Properties for $36 billion,
and Russian steelmaker Evraz Group is looking to swallow Oregon
Steel Mills in a $2.5 billion transaction. Russia's attempt
at acquiring a U.S. producer should receive particular scrutiny.
-- U.S.
Treasury Yields
6-mo.
5.12% 2-yr. 4.73% 10-yr. 4.55% 30-yr. 4.63%
Little
news worth passing on regarding the bond market, specifically,
particularly as it was closed Thursday and Friday. But there
was a lot of news overseas that impacted the U.S. dollar,
which in turn of course influences interest rates. The euro,
for example, rose to $1.30 for the first time since April
2005 as traders believe the European Central Bank will be
hiking rates throughout 2007 due to the threat of inflation.
Not only
is the European economy chugging along at its best pace in
years, but the extra yield investors once got investing in
U.S. bonds vs. European ones is narrowing significantly, thus
making U.S. investments less attractive. Of course most traders
feel the Federal Reserve is finished raising rates and that
the next move will be to lower them; yet at the same time
China is making waves about diversifying its currency holdings
out of the dollar.
The flipside
is that in the case of European manufacturers, the stronger
euro hits exports, while the downside for the U.S. is more
expensive European goods mean higher inflation here. But for
the second time in three weeks, Treasuries did not act in
the manner you'd expect, choosing to rally this week as thoughts
of a slowdown and Fed easing trumped the idea of needing higher
rates to offset the impact of a falling dollar, higher inflation
and the need to keep our securities attractive, especially
in light of our humongous government debts.
--Economist
David Hale was interviewed for Barron's and had the following
take on the private-equity boom.
"It is
spinning out of control. We are raising so much money there
is bound to be an accident at some point. We are talking now
about literally tens of billions of dollars. Nobody knows
what the accident will be, but when you have this much money
chasing deals, the odds are very high."
That's
the same refrain so many of us have. We know it doesn't smell
right, but no one can tell when it will end, as opposed to
the Nasdaq Bubble where I was writing how it was pretty obvious
the end was nigh when once responsible Wall Street strategists
started saying price/earnings multiples didn't matter.
The Nov.
27 issue of Business Week has a good example of the private-equity
scene in the case of Freescale Semiconductor, recently acquired
by Blackstone Group for about $18 billion.
As reported
by Emily Thornton:
"The most
pressing question for the buyout firms is whether Freescale
can thrive despite the $9.5 billion in debt it must take on
for its owners to pay for the deal. Freescale's interest expense
payments are expected to zoom to more than $750 million, vs.
$105 million paid in the 12 months ended in September. 'Because
this is funded with so much debt, it is one of the riskier
deals in tech land,' said one analyst?.
"Right
now it looks as though the buyers have some breathing room;
Freescale generated $780 million in cash last year. But the
firms are expected to cart off all but $600 million of the
$3 billion of cash on the balance sheet to pay for the deal.
Moody's Investors Service estimates that Freescale will generate
only $350 million in free cash in 2007. Value Line reckons
net income will shrink to $860 million, from $930 million?.
"The debt
load also leaves precious little room for error in the event
of an industry downturn. In the semiconductor industry's last
severe bust, in 2001, Freescale, then Motorola's chip division,
lost $2.2 billion."
When does
the whole private-equity craze end? It's really pretty simple?the
next recession.
--Americans
currently have 148 million cars, China 19 million and India
9 million. But Goldman Sachs projects that by 2050, the U.S.
will have 233 million, China 514 million, and India 610 million.
Of course
the above is but one important example of human activity and
the prospective impact on global warming. But in a survey
for Harris Interactive in Germany, France, the UK, Italy and
Spain, while 68% said they would either strongly or somewhat
support restrictions on their behavior and purchases in order
to reduce the threat, only 43% strongly or somewhat supported
a charge on airline passengers to pay for environmental damage.
At the
same time, there are some on the continent who say Europe
is already moving too fast on climate change. The Financial
Times reported the EU's industry commissioner has warned "We
have to recognize that?our environmental leadership could
significantly undermine the international competitiveness
of part of Europe's energy-intensive industries and worsen
global environmental performance by redirecting production
to parts of the world with lower environmental standards."
[The commissioner is obviously targeting China, India and
other Asian nations.]
--Shares
in Google exceeded the $500 mark, finishing the week at $505.
It was Aug. 2004 when the stock went public at $84. Congratulations
if you've been in it since the beginning, or $400 for that
matter. I do not believe that the stock is necessarily overvalued
at these levels, if you can convince me the projected growth
rate will hold. But I'm just more and more convinced that
revenue models dependent to a large extent on online advertising
are doomed to fail.
--General
Motors tanked after it was revealed investor Kirk Kerkorian
cut his stake by 25% or 14 million shares. Despite the decline
in the stock price, the sale was viewed as a victory for GM
CEO Rick Wagoner, who has refused to form an alliance with
Nissan Motors Co. and Renault, which was what Kerkorian sought
through his substantial position in GM that peaked at close
to 10%. But the 89-year-old Kerkorian didn't just sell the
GM position; at the same time he sought to increase his share
in MGM Mirage to 62%.
--Motor
Trend's 2007 Car of the Year award goes to?.Toyota's Camry!
No surprise then that thus far in '06 the Camry is the leader
in sales in the U.S. [Last year's Motor Trend selection was
the Honda Civic, with Corgi's Porsche Carrera tops in the
toy car category.]
--Dell
finally released results for its third quarter and Wall Street
celebrated as Dell handily beat earnings estimates. But at
the same time Dell announced it wouldn't file its 10Q for
either the 2nd or 3rd quarter due to the SEC's ongoing investigation
into its accounting, management offered no explanation, and
there was no conference call for analysts to question the
company. Dell added it may have to restate some of what it
told investors. The shares rose 10% anyway. That's today's
Wall Street.
--Investigators
in Germany and Italy are trying to get a handle on the scope
of a bribery scandal at Siemens AG, Europe's largest engineering
company. What was once thought to be a $25 million scheme
has now turned into at least a $250 million one, with two
employees already jailed and 30 offices and residences of
employees searched, including the offices of Klaus Kleinfeld,
CEO. According to Italian authorities and the Wall Street
Journal, "Consulting contracts were signed by senior Siemens
officials for work that was never done, (with) payments then
transferred through shell companies registered in offshore
locations such as the Channel Islands and Puerto Rico." What
is it that we always say around here? Corruption makes the
world go 'round.
--A survey
by The Chronicle of Higher Education has found that the number
of college and university presidents earning at least $500,000
increased by 53 percent in just the past year. Amazingly,
the top earner at a public university was David Roselle, president
of the University of Delaware, who earned $979,000 in pay
and benefits. Nothing against Delaware, where my Uncle Conrad
taught for decades, but you don't see Delaware competing for
the NCAA football or basketball titles, do you? I mean that's
all that really matters, right? Or am I revealing too much
about my shallow self?
Actually,
the pay at our institutions of higher learning is a function
of fundraising and with huge budgets come responsibility.
--Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson gave what was supposed to be an "important"
speech on market regulation and ended up saying a lot of nothing.
While criticizing the nation's "ever- expanding rulebook"
and burdensome legal system, when questioned after his prepared
remarks he stood behind Sarbanes- Oxley while expressing confidence
it would be made more flexible.
"I don't
think there is a single principle in [Sarbanes-Oxley] that
is ill-founded," he said. But if the treasury secretary, who
came from Wall Street, doesn't rail against the egregious
aspects of Sarbox that are leading to a precipitous drop in
corporate listings in the United States, then who the heck
is going to force the change?
[Separately,
Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke are taking a trip to China
together to get the Chinese to let their currency appreciate
more. But the Chinese will feed them some shark fin soup and
the two will forget why they were there.]
--And
now the latest episode on "CSI: Wall Street." Just last week
we learned KB Home CEO Bruce Karantz was canned for backdating
stock options. But since he wasn't really 'fired,' officially,
and chose to resign instead, it has been revealed that he
will leave with cash and prizes of $175 million. $175 million!
when you add in the $80 million he receives under his negotiated
severance agreement, a special pension plan, and vested options
that aren't in dispute. [LA Times]
This is
absolutely insane.
--Forget
silicon gel implants, there is a severe global shortage of
poly-crystalline silicon that is the basic material used to
manufacture materials for solar power. Because of the demand
for silicon chips with the booming semiconductor industry,
it's increasingly difficult to find enough silicon for solar
panels, which could lead to higher prices for the material
and thus make investments in the solar industry less attractive.
--According
to the Financial Times, $1.3 billion in art has been sold
in the past two weeks during New York's auction season. As
one expert said, "It's not just a few hedge fund managers
buying: it's the growth of the high net worth sector over
the past five years, which has been dramatic." I really should
sell my Lew Alcindor rookie card, come to think of it.
--The
price of my favorite beer rose 6% this week! Drat!
--My portfolio:
I haven't been doing anything the past few months, thus no
chatter in this space. I am, however, ticked off at my carbon
fiber holding for being so late in releasing its third quarter
earnings. The company is falling back on the excuse the quarter
represents their fiscal year end, but that's no reason not
to at least give shareholders an idea of just when the information
is forthcoming. Otherwise, I'm preparing my concession speech
for year end; the one acknowledging that my model portfolio
of 80% cash, 20% stocks failed to beat the market by a sizable
margin.
Foreign
Affairs
North
Korea: President Bush had his opportunity to pressure his
counterparts at the 21-nation Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation
forum on the issue of North Korea and its nuclear weapons
ambitions and what happened? All Bush got was an oral statement,
read by Vietnam's president, calling for the implementation
of UN Security Council Resolutions on the topic. That's it.
And, further, in talks with South Korean President Roh, Bush
was unable to gain Seoul's cooperation in boarding North Korean
ships. Later in the week, North Korea's deputy foreign minister,
on a visit to Beijing, said "Why would we abandon nuclear
weapons? Are you saying we conducted a nuclear test in order
to abandon them?" It's final exam time for the White House.
Can they ace it and pull the final grade up to C from F?
Russia:
What a nasty country. While the history of the place is the
most fascinating in the world, it remains a nation of devious,
scheming and corrupt people, with a leadership that is both
paranoid and constantly suffering from an inferiority complex.
And now
we have another example in the death of former KGB agent Alexander
Litvinenko, poisoned in some fashion in London as he was investigating
the recent death of Russian journalist Anna Politkovskaya.
Scotland Yard is now focusing on a radioactive compound, polonium-210,
probably placed in his tea as he sat down with a shady Russian
character back on November 1. Before he took ill, an Italian
associate had presented him with a list of Kremlin targets
that included Litvinenko.
After
his death, an associate read a statement that Alexander had
dictated, addressing Russian President Vladimir Putin directly.
"You may
succeed in silencing me, but that silence comes at a price.
"You have
shown yourself to be as barbaric and ruthless as your most
hostile critics have claimed.
"The howl
of protest from around the world will reverberate, Mr. Putin,
in your ears for the rest of your life."
His final
words were whispered to his friend, filmmaker Andrei Nekrasov.
"The bastards
got me, but they won't get everybody."
Back in
2003, Litvinenko, an outspoken critic of Putin who was forced
into exile in Britain, had written a book on the 1999 apartment
bombings in Moscow. In this very column, 12/12/99, I first
raised the issue, before it had appeared anywhere else that
I could ascertain, certainly not the mainstream press, that
perhaps the KGB had blown up the apartments, killing 300,
so that it could blame Chechen militants as part of the Kremlin's
war on Chechnya at that time. Vladimir Putin was about to
come to power and Putin needed the cover in order to blast
Chechnya to kingdom come?which he then proceeded to do?a most
popular action in Russia. Litvinenko later came to the same
conclusion, as did the New York Times' William Safire. It
is one of the great unsolved murder cases in history, with
obviously incredibly ominous implications, and yet many in
the West continue to treat Vladimir Putin, who clearly ordered
the bombings himself, on his own people, as a civilized member
of the G-8. Shame on all of us.
Meanwhile,
last Wednesday Putin warned Poland and other East European
nations they risked creating fresh divisions by treating Russia
as an enemy, this while he wields the gas weapon.
But speaking
of natural gas and behemoth Gazprom, there is increasing concern
Gazprom won't even be able to meet the energy needs of Russia
itself. The director of gas research at the Oxford Institute
for Energy Studies told the International Herald Tribune that
"The issue is not about Russia's reputation as a reliable
supplier of gas to Europe. The fact is that there is a limit
over how much gas Russia can sell to Europe. I don't think
Europe realizes it, but we are reaching the limit of Russian
exports. Russia needs the gas for themselves."
China:
President Hu Jintao traveled to New Delhi for meetings with
a variety of Indian officials, including Prime Minister Singh,
but while the discussions generated a lot of press, and it's
good the two are talking, there was really little progress
on substantive issues such as the ongoing border dispute and
the relationship each has with Pakistan and the United States.
India is concerned Pakistan is receiving Chinese nuclear know-how,
and China is concerned about the new U.S./India agreement
on the nuke front.
Separately,
President Hu announced he would travel to Japan early next
year and this is a genuine positive. Hu refused to meet with
Prime Minister Koizumi because of Koizumi's visits to the
controversial war shrine. But Koizumi's successor, Shinzo
Abe, has vowed to focus on improving relations with China.
Japan:
In a survey for Yomiuri newspaper, 80% of the people polled
support maintaining the country's three-pronged policy of
not possessing, developing or allowing the introduction of
nuclear weapons on its territory. Kind of surprising, to yours
truly, in light of the recent North Korean detonation.
Pakistan:
A London Times investigation found 30 Taliban commanders,
recovering from wounds suffered in Afghanistan, in the Pakistani
city of Quetta, just lounging around, perfectly willing to
talk to the reporter. President Musharraf wasn't available
for comment.
Turkey:
Pope Benedict is visiting the nation Tuesday thru Friday.
Security forces are on the highest alert after his recent
anti-Islam remarks. I don't need to state the obvious.
Canada:
Prime Minister Stephen Harper stunned Parliament in introducing
a motion recognizing Quebec as a nation within Canada, a pre-emptive
strike against Bloc Quebecois, the separatists who have long
advocated Quebec break away.
Harper
told the House of Commons, "Do Quebecers form a nation within
a united Canada? The answer is yes. Do Quebecers form an independent
nation? The answer is no - and it will always be no." Harper
is trying to stave off another referendum in Quebec.
As for
Canada's efforts in Afghanistan, it is sending more special
ops forces to the Kandahar region where 2,500 Canadian troops
are stationed. 34 Canadian soldiers have died in Afghanistan
this year.
Colombia:
President Alvaro Uribe is facing a crisis of mammoth proportions
as it has emerged members of Congress have been collaborating
with right-wing death squads. Two senators are in custody
as well as a congressman and former congresswoman. Other local
officials have been arrested. An investigation revealed that
lawmakers rigged elections and planned assassinations. The
scandal has raised questions on just how tough Uribe's crackdown
on paramilitaries has been. Some of those arrested are among
his staunchest supporters and helped change the law to allow
him to run for a second four-year term. Uribe has been a shining
star to many of us and it would be a disaster if he's toppled
as a result of the ongoing inquiry. Neighbor Hugo Chavez must
be licking his chops.
---
Pray for
the men and women of our armed forces.
Pray for
Lebanon.
God bless
America.
---
Gold closed
at $639
Oil, $59.90
Returns
for the week 11/20-11/24
Dow Jones
-0.5% [12280]
S&P 500 -0.0% [1400]
S&P MidCap +0.7%
Russell 2000 +0.5%
Nasdaq +0.6% [2460]
Returns
for the period 1/1/06-11/24/06
Dow Jones
+14.6%
S&P 500 +12.2%
S&P MidCap +10.0%
Russell 2000 +17.7%
Nasdaq +11.6%
Bulls
58.5 [Danger?danger?.]
Bears 22.3 [Source: Chartcraft / Investors Intelligence]
Have a
great week. I appreciate your support.
Brian
Trumbore
BUYandHOLD
does not offer or provide any investment advice or opinion
regarding the nature, potential, value, suitability or profitability
of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction
or investment strategy. Any investment decisions you make
will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial
circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and
liquidity needs. The securities mentioned above are being
used for illustrative purposes only and should not be regarded
as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy.
The securities markets are subject to the risks of fluctuating
prices and the uncertainty of rates of return and yields inherent
in investing. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The opinions expressed above are not necessarily those of
BUYandHOLD, Freedom Investments, its officers, directors or
any of its affiliates.

The
BUYandHOLD website contains links to third-party websites
on the Internet. BUYandHOLD provides these links to these
websites only as a convenience to users of the website.
Links on the BUYandHOLD website are not endorsements by
BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments, implied or express, of
the linked sites or any products, services or links in such
sites; and no information in such sites has been endorsed
or approved by BUYandHOLD. Linked sites are not under the
control of BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments, and we are
not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any
link contained in a linked site. No information contained
in the BUYandHOLD website or accessed through any linked
site, or any link contained in a linked site, constitutes
a recommendation by BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments to
buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument.
Information accessed through linked sites is not, nor should
be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer,
to buy or sell securities by BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments.
BUYandHOLD does not offer or provide any investment advice
or opinion regarding the nature, potential, value, suitability
or profitability of any particular security, portfolio of
securities, transaction or investment strategy, and any
investment decisions you make will be based solely on your
evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives,
risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Copyright
© 1999 2012 Freedom Investments. All Rights Reserved.
Freedom Investments, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC
Privacy & Security
|