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Past Questions Main

Question: This discussion about a recession makes me nervous. What types of stocks should I have?

A BuyandHolder

Answer:

Dear BuyandHolder,

In every phase of the business cycle, even during a recession, there are winners and of course, some losers. Groups that continue to do well, even thrive, consist of companies that sell products and services we must have. Wall Street refers to them as recession-resistant industries.

You can identify some, if not all of them on your own. Simply think of the things that people cannot or will not do without. Here are some thoughts to get you started.

And as you assemble your portfolio, keep in mind that old adage, "don't put all your eggs in one basket." Diversify among industries and then within a given industry. We also recommend that you keep six month's worth of living expenses in a money market fund or bank CDs.

Beverages. This industry includes alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages as well as soft drinks. Sales tend to remain strong, even during economic downturns. Some experts maintain that during really tough times, beer sells better than hard liquor because it is less expensive.

Drugs. People continue to buy medicines and over-the-counter drugs. It's difficult, if not plain unwise, to skip your high blood pressure medicine and it's tough to survive forever without an aspirin or cough drop.

Food. We will continue to eat. People under financial pressure buy staples, of course, but look for less expensive items and brands. Gourmet and deluxe lines may not be as profitable. Note: The food industry includes production, processing, distribution, stores and supermarkets.

Health Care & Medical Supplies. Industries that produce drugs, pharmaceuticals and hospital supplies are essential and especially for our aging population.

Household Products. We will need soap, toothbrushes and paste and shampoo along with cleaning products for washing clothes, dishes and floors.

Telephone & Telecommunications. Not every company within this group is likely to thrive during an economic setback. Look for players that are well run and carry little debt.

Utilities. There's always a reliable demand for electricity and gas. No one voluntarily signs up to sit in the dark, in the extreme cold or in the extreme heat. However, utilities with a large component of industrial users might suffer as businesses cut back.

Waste Disposal. Garbage collectors and those companies whose activities are mandated by the government, such as hazardous waste disposal, sell services that are needed at all times.

Another way to invest during hard times is to buy stocks of companies that have a long history of paying regular dividends. In a poor market, these stocks tend to decline less in price than those that are not dividend-oriented. This is because institutional and individual investors prize them, hang on to them, and sometimes buy additional shares when the price is down from previous highs.

Begin by studying Standard & Poor's Dividend Aristocrats -- some 55+ companies that have increased their dividend payout for a minimum of 25 years. You'll find the list at www.marketattributes.standardandpoors.com. In the middle of the table, click on "Dividend Aristocrats."

Note: On a slightly different yet related topic...Knowing about recession resistant industries is also useful because they are possible places for employment. If you and/or friends are unemployed or fear you will be, why not look for a job in recession-resistant companies located in your area.

Good luck!

 

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