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Question:
What
is good about the falling dollar? Everyone is talking
about how bad it is. There must be another side to
the picture.
Brenda
T.
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Answer:
Dear Brenda,
Such
an interesting (and good) question. You're quite right
-- everyone discusses the negatives surrounding the
weak dollar -- but rightly so. It's generally not
a good thing for Americans.
However,
there are a handful of positives. Some of them might
trigger ideas about related investment strategies.
1)
The weak dollar makes American-made goods cheaper
overseas. This obviously gives a big boost to companies
who export their products. These companies are generally
referred to as multinationals. There are
specific publicly traded multinationals and a number
of specialized mutual funds that could see a positive
impact from this situation.
2)
The boost in U.S. exports has offset some of
the negative economic impact resulting from the
turbulence in the housing and mortgage markets.
3)
The strong export situation has mitigated to
some extent the U.S. trade deficit, putting it more
in balance. In fact, it appears as though 2007 will
wind up with a smaller trade deficit than 2006,
although that's not a given and we won't know until
the end of December.
4)
The weak dollar is a positive for many businesses
involved in tourism. Europeans (and others) are
finding vacations and business trips to the U.S.
a real bargain. Even more and more Canadians, whose
dollar is now stronger than ours, are taking U.S.
vacations.
And,
whether coming for work or pleasure, Europeans,
Canadians, Asians and others spend a lot of money
while they are here. Key tourist spots as well as
major business and convention cities are seeing
this reflected in higher room occupancy, greater
call for tourist services, longer lines at theme
parks and tourist sites plus increased sales at
many retail stores, boutiques and restaurants.
5)
Some foreigners, when they find properties they
consider a good value or a bargain, are investing
in U.S. real estate. Given the increase in housing
foreclosures, this could be positive for the sagging
subprime mortgage market, although it certainly
will not fully solve the situation.
Good
luck!
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