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Question:
I'm
thinking of buying shares of Southwest Airlines. Is
this a good idea?
A
BuyandHolder
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Answer:
Dear BuyandHolder,
I
cannot give you specific advice about stocks - due
to the SEC ruling of "know thy customer." All financial
advisors must know a client's net worth, financial
responsibilities, age, employment situation, savings
and tolerance for risk before recommending the purchase
or sale of a stock.
However,
I can give you some guidelines to consider when making
changes in your portfolio.
-
The industry. Take time to study the overall
airline industry prior to making an investment decision.
You'll find in-depth coverage in Value Line Investment
Survey, available at many public libraries (www.valueline.com).
This independently published research service updates
information on the major industries on a weekly
basis. You'll also find easy-to-understand evaluations
of the individual airline companies, written by
expert analysts.
- Fuel
prices. Profits in the transportation industry
are closely tied to the cost of fuel. Any decline
in prices is an obvious positive for the airlines.
A group called Oil Price Information Service (www.opisnet.com),
headquartered in Rockville, MD, tracks the details.
You'll find their results continually reported in
the financial news.
- Weather.
This may seem obvious and it is, yet the obvious
should not be overlooked. Airline carriers that
fly into "snowy" areas face severe problems and
extra costs as we well know from the recent snow
storms in Denver. On the other hand, overall global
warming bodes well for the industry as a whole,
increasing passenger demand for flights and reducing
the number of cancelled and/or delayed flights.
- Strikes
and walk-outs. When management faces across-the-board
personnel and labor problems, it costs the company
money. A strong management team is key to averting
such employee relations issues.
-
Cost cutting. As with any industry, an ability
to keep expenses at a minimum translates into a
positive bottom line. Study the annual reports of
the individual carriers as well as the evaluations
in Value Line. Doing so will help you determine
which of the carriers is on top of the situation.
-
Expansion. Airline
carriers are not the only companies that have expanded
too quickly. Over the years, investors have seen
a number of companies in differing industries fail
due in part to growing too rapidly. Look for carriers
that can resist this pressure, limit their growth
and keep in the black.
Good
luck!
BUYandHOLD
does not recommend any securities. The security mentioned
above is being used for informational purposes only
and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or
as a solicitation of an offer to buy.
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