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Question:
In
an economics course I took, we were told that a company's
cash flow is very important...but not much else was
said.
Art
Kincaid
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Answer:
Dear Art,
The
cash position is one of (if not "the") most important
aspects of judging a company and deciding if you wish
to own its stock. No matter how great its products
or services, how attractive its real estate, how sophisticated
its advertising campaign and prominent its public
image -- if it has insufficient cash reserves for
running the business, doing research and development
and taking advantage of new opportunities, it could
lose out to its competitors.
A
strong cash position gives a company the money with
which to raise outside capital, to advertise, to make
timely acquisitions, to pay interest on its bonds,
to grant dividends to shareholders and equally important,
to weather difficult times, even recessions.
A
FASB (Federal Accounting Standards Board) ruling requires
public companies to issue annual cash flow statements.
Therefore, I recommend that you get a copy of the
annual and quarterly reports for any companies in
which you own stock and for those you are considering.
With those in hand, here are three ways to do your
own cash flow analysis.
(1)
The easiest ratio involves dividing the total
amount of cash a company has on hand by the amount
of long-term debt. A position under 20% is generally
regarded as risky.
(2)
A popular ratio among professional security analysts
is the "acid-test ratio" also called the quick ratio
or liquidity ratio. It measures a company's liquidity
and ability to meet its short-term debts without dipping
into inventory. Take cash on hand plus cash equivalents
(marketable securities, accounts receivable and notes
receivable) and divide them by current total liabilities.
If
the ratio is 1 to 1 or higher, the company is considered
comfortably liquid. Of course, the higher the ratio,
the greater the liquidity.
(3)
The "cash asset ratio" is also very helpful in analyzing
a company. It consists of the total dollar value of
cash on hand plus marketable securities. This figure
is then divided by current liabilities. It measures
the extent to which a company can quickly liquidate
assets and cover short-term debts. Therefore, it is
also referred to as the liquidity ratio.
A
Cash Cow
In
the process of reading about cash flow, you may come
upon the phrase "cash cow." This is a company that
generates a healthy stream of cash. A cash cow is
typically (but certainly not always) one that has
famous brand names that people like and return time
after time to purchase. Cash cows also tend to pay
dividends to shareholders and also to regularly increase
those dividends.
More
Info...
If
you find this type of stock analysis of interest,
I recommend these sources for further unbiased advice.
-
American Association of Individual Investors.
This consumer group has two valuable publications
at: www.aaii.com:
"Mapping Earnings: Finding the Bottom Line in
Profits" and "Four Basic Steps in Gauging
a Firm's True Financial Position."
-
New York Stock Exchange. Go to: www.nyse.com
and in the search box type: "Reading Annual Reports."
-
How The Stock Market Works by John
Dalton; published by the New York Institute of Finance.
I often recommend this book and in your case, suggest
reading Chapter 13, "Analyzing Stocks: The Corporation's
Report Card."
Good
luck!
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