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Past Questions Main

Question: Is the new Treasury bond a good thing?

A BuyandHolder

Answer:

Dear BuyandHolder,

I assume you're referring to the 30-year Treasury which has been on a four year hiatus.

Yes...in early Augusut, the government announced that starting next year it will again offer investors its so-called "long bond". It hasn't been around since 2001.

The general, unofficial feeling is that the bond will provide a way for the government to raise money at low rates to finance the federal deficit. The White House's most recent projection is that the deficit for this year will be around $333 billion.

Like other US Treasuries, the 30-year bond comes with certain positives -- it has a guaranteed interest rate; bondholders are not hit with state income taxes; it is considered very safe since it is guaranteed by the U.S. government and it is issued in $1,000 increments.

You will find details at: www.treasurydirect.gov. You can also get information by calling: 800-722-2678.

The first auction of $10 to $15 billion worth of bonds will take place in February. Another $10 to $15 billion will be auctioned later in the year.

The question is should you lock up your money for 30 years? That's a long time. Even a spokesperson for the Bureau of Public Debt in Washington said at the time the news was released, "Whether anybody really is going to lock in a 30-year security at today's interest rates is a question."

In the past, long-term bonds have been popular with both insurance companies and pension plans. That's expected to be true with the newly issued bond.

As we go to press, a 5-year Treasury is yielding 4.23% and a 10 year, 4.39% while the old 30 year T-bond, sold on the secondary market, comes in between 4.1% to 4.4%.

Of course, until the new 30-year bond is actually sold, -- some time in February 2006 -- we won't know what the yield will be.

However, keep in mind that there are other ways to get yields of 4% or more. For example, a handful of banks are offering five-year CDs yielding 4.5% of more -- although they are not free from state income tax. Several bank stocks have yields between 4.1% and 4.7%. Two other types of stocks, public utilities and REITs (real estate investment trusts) traditionally have high dividend payouts.

$Tip: Interest from a bank CD is taxed at your maximum tax rate -- which could be as high as 35% (during 2005). Qualified stock dividends, on the other hand, are taxed at the lower long-term capital gains rates -- 15% for most people and for those in the lowest tax brackets, only 5%.

Bonds & Your Portfolio

It's important, however, to have bonds in your portfolio. As we've discussed in previous columns, one way to reduce risk is through diversification -- stocks, bonds, bank CDs, money market accounts.

Good luck!

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