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Past Questions Main

Question: Can you give me some advice about picking out-of-favor stocks?

Michael Timmons

Answer:

Dear Michael,

There are several specifics to look for when picking stocks that are being overlooked by investors. And, if you find one that eventually turns around and becomes in favor again, you have the possibility of increasing the worth of your portfolio.

CAUTION: However, I strongly urge you to maintain a diversified portfolio -- one that also contains solid blue chip stocks, utilities and perhaps some REITs. The old protective guideline -- diversify to reduce risk -- certainly holds true in this situation, as in many others.

Five Steps For Finding Out-Of-Favor Stocks

(1) Watch and listen to the news

Every evening pay close attention to radio and TV coverage of the market. These broadcasts list the names of companies in trouble as well as those whose stocks have dropped in price. "Trouble" may be a decline in quarterly profits, the sudden resignation of the CEO or COO, a significant scandal about one or several members of the management team or the dramatic failure of a product or service.

The following morning, add to your research, by reading coverage in the morning newspaper, especially the Wall Street Journal and Investors' Business Daily.

Then, assemble and keep updated a list of five to ten such stocks.

(2) Do Your Research

Once a stock is on your watch list, get a copy of its annual and quarterly reports. And check to see if it is covered in Value Line Investment Survey, a weekly independent research service that evaluates major stocks. (Copies are available at most libraries.)

You want to make certain the company has sufficient cash flow, so that after it addresses the reason(s) it's fallen out of favor -- which may mean paying off its debt, boosting its research and development, consolidating or changing its marketing plan -- it can still has enough funds to operate in a healthy fashion.

Obviously, the more cash flow a company has available, the more it can afford to address internal problems and make the necessary changes.

(3) Look At Management

If a company has fallen on hard times, it may need new ideas, new leadership, new skills. Very often, a company turns around in the long term because the Board of Directors has brought in new people at the top.

(4) Assets For Sale

If the firm as several assets that are no longer useful or no longer needed, this is a positive -- it signals a cash-generating opportunity.

Some assets, such as a little-known subsidiary of an equity interest in another company, are known as "hidden assets." You'll find these listed in the financial statement.

(5) Payouts

I like companies that pay a dividend. Even out-of-favor companies. Paying a dividend doesn't guarantee a successful turnaround, but it does mean you'll receive some income while you're holding your shares waiting for that wallflower to turn into a dynamic beauty.

Bottom Line:

Keep in mind that out-of-favor stocks rarely rebound quickly. Be prepared to hold your position long term. If you panic and sell too soon, you have no possibility of reaping a gain. Proceed with care and caution.

 

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