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When Cora
and I shopped for summer reading material the other day, we
spent a minimum of four hours in two different bookstores.
We were both starved for new reading material, and bookstores
are our candystores. It seems, though, that other Americans
spend more time as food consumers rather than as book consumers,
and the face of this country's economy has changed into what
the June issue of Business 2.0 Magazine calls "Fat
America"*
To quote
the statistics at the beginning of this article, "More than
60 million Americans are obese, up from 23 million in 1980.
Another 28 million are expected to join their ranks by 2013?Researchers
at the University of Iowa have found that obesity rates are
rising most rapidly among urbanites who earn $60,000 or more
per year." The figures are revealing, not because of their
size, but because the income level means that overweight Americans
can now afford to make changes within their environments to
accommodate their increased size.
So, while
some large corporations have already changed some car seat
sizes and while top designers have shifted focus to larger
women's size apparel (women who wear sizes 14 and larger make
up more than half of the overall market, and plus-size apparel
is the fastest-growing segment of the clothing industry),
individuals who have been embarrassed or shortchanged in public
because of their size have begun to create their own solutions.
A new breed of overweight American entrepreneur has been born.
Look for
new bathroom fixtures that fit plus-size Americans. You can
also carry your own seat-belt extenders for airline flights
now, too, thanks to another entrepreneur. If you're overweight,
you might find resorts that are willing to hide you away in
comfort away from disapproving stares provided by skinny foreigners.
You can also find nightclubs which cater only to the 250-lb+
crowd. The focus on accommodating overweight Americans has
turned into a billion-dollar industry across several market
sectors, and opportunities for investments seem as large as
its representatives.
To begin
to combine what has happened in the world of plus-sized market
changes with the study of economics, a little explanation
is required. Economics, basically, is the study of what
constitutes rational human behavior in the endeavor to fulfill
needs and wants. Everyone in this country at one time
or another faces the problem of limited resources with which
to fulfill those wants and needs. So, as a consumer within
this economy, you make choices about how to spend your money,
which is - no matter how much you make - defined as a limited
resource.
Economists
are interested in how you spend your money, because spending
trends define how both individuals and nations behave in response
to certain material constraints. Many economists make the
assumption that human beings will aim to fulfill their self-interests,
but that individuals are rational in their efforts to fulfill
their unlimited wants and needs. In other words, you will
pay for your needed shelter with rent or mortgage payments
before you go out to purchase some wanted but really unneeded
item. Nations react in the same way, supposedly. Economics,
therefore, is a social science, which examines how people
and nations behave according to their self-interests and resources.**
For an
individual, limited resources include time, money and skill.
The study on how individuals or a smaller entity than a nation
(like a company) spends their resources is called "microeconomics."
For a nation, limited resources include natural resources,
capital, labor force and technology, and a study on how a
nation spends resources is called "macroeconomics." The tension
between limited resources and unlimited needs is called the
concept of "scarcity."
Scarce
resources and unlimited wants force governments and individuals
to decide how best to manage resources and allocate them in
the most efficient way possible. For instance, overweight
individuals will find a way to accommodate their needs in
public and in private based upon a value system that might
seek to avoid embarrassment and shame in an environment that
doesn't accommodate for or approve of obesity. Therefore,
you - whether you're overweight or not - will begin to find
"roomier" cars, mattresses, toilet seats, and other daily-use
items in places where none existed previously.
So, on
one side of this economic coin, overweight Americans are creating
a new market segment that accommodates their size. On the
other side of this coin, markets - despite mouthing an unwillingness
to "approve" of overweight Americans - are more than willing
to help create this market so that they can pull in the dollars
minted in this exchange. But some businesses, like the airline
industry, have balked at creating more room for obese Americans.
It seems that overweight Americans avoid air travel because
of the possibility of an embarrassing situation?and that resorts
far from home are also avoided for the same reason.
New markets
require new research into their possibilities, both from a
business perspective and from an individual investor perspective.
Sometimes market research seems solid, as it's based upon
mostly unbiased statistics. Sometimes market research is conducted
by "let's try it and see if it's a mistake or not" methodology,
and sometimes this latter method reveals more than the numbers.
Not every idea will fly (no pun intended), but some ideas,
like local overweight-only nightclubs, might take off. A focus
on social behavior then, which is a base for economics, might
help determine how and when to spend your investment dollars
in this new market segment, if at all.
Microeconomics
and macroeconomics are inseparable, so whatever economic changes
occur to accommodate overweight Americans will alter how this
nation allocates its resources as well. But, Cora and I will
take you into the "production possibility frontier," or PPF,
in the next article. This week, we just want to soak in the
fact that whoever said that there are no new frontiers was
wrong?
Until
then,
Linda Goin
* You
can also read this article online at CNNMoney.
** A great online resource for "economics basics" is provided
by Investopedia.com.
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