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Last week
we pondered the dollar's falling value and how this devaluation
affects U.S. imports and exports. The decreased dollar value
lowers the costs of our exports to other countries, but it
also increases the price of foreign goods imported into the
U.S. One of the paths we took to investigate this balance
of economics was through the World
Trade Organization (WTO). We also located some history
about U.S. economics that we'll share at the end of this article.
The history
of global trade policies is important, because - even though
the WTO is only eight years old - this agency was founded
on over fifty years of global trade rule negotiation. To understand
the WTO, we might want to understand why we need a supervisor
for world trade in the first place. The need began in the
1930s, when increased transportation and communications created
a global trade economy. The problem with trade at that time
was that it affected just about every country in the world.
When high unemployment and economic depression affected one
country, it affected the entire trading world.
In reaction
to this depression, many countries encouraged more of their
own exports and restricted imports from other countries. The
discouragement of imports came in the form of tariffs, or
duties and fines, on the importer and their goods or services.
Certain countries retaliated against the high tariffs, and
tariff wars eventually led to an almost total collapse of
international trade.
The reaction
to this failure demanded a restructuring of international
trade, based on a reassessment and realignment of global economy.
These negotiations happened at the Bretton Woods Conference
in 1944. We already know about Keynesian Economics, the World
Bank, and the IMF (see previous articles). Now, we needed
something like the ITO (International Trade Organization)
to help regulate trade. Congress, however, refused to approve
the ITO, so this agency was tabled.
Instead,
a new group was established as an interim measure until ITO
policies could be hammered out. GATT (General Agreement on
Tariffs and Trade) was established in 1947 to negotiate tariff
restrictions among its members and to establish a code of
conduct and rules for trade dispute resolution. This organization
was founded on principles of nondiscrimination and multilaterism
(the "Big M" in case your kids can't pronounce this word).
This means no nation could be favored above other nations
in world trade. If one country decreased tariffs on imports,
the tariff on all imports of the same goods from other GATT
members would also be reduced. This meant all countries were
treated fairly.
GATT was
an invaluable agency at the time. This group worked successfully
to increase world trade with little dispute. However, something
happened in the 1980s to tip GATT off balance. Previous to
this decade, the U.S. entered a period of political, social,
and economic turmoil that affected attitudes toward their
survival within world trade policies.
In 1975,
America stumbled out of the decade-long Vietnam War to face
high unemployment, losses of major industries, and political
mandates that increased inflation at home. The middle class
all but disappeared in this country due to automation and
technological advances. By 1982, unemployment in the U.S.
reached a staggering 11%. America experienced a brief economic
revival in 1983, and this continued until the October 1987
stock market crash. On that date, America's economic future
crumbled. Global economists agreed: the deficits in the U.S.
budget and in their trade balance cast profound doubt on America's
ability to sustain itself in the world economy.*
We could
debate all the reasons why this disorder happened, but one
theory - based on world trade - is that the U.S. felt GATT's
multilateral and nondiscriminatory policies undermined its
global economic power. Free trade meant everyone had a fair
chance to compete, and the revitalized economies of Western
Europe and Japan emerged to challenge U.S. supremacy in trade
and manufacturing.
The U.S.
responded to this challenge by pushing to expand GATT into
nontraditional areas, and with disputes over this organization's
resolution policies. GATT member countries resisted the U.S.,
so the U.S. went "unilateral," the opposite of the "Big M."
At the same time, South American countries, especially Mexico,
were faced with mounting debt and poor trade. To make a long
history short, Mexico began negotiations with the U.S. and
Canada to create NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement).
No matter
what theory we use (and I try to teach Cora that history is
always debatable), there's much more discussion, including
pros and cons, involved with the demise of the GATT, the creation
of the WTO, and the simultaneous development of the NAFTA.
The upshot to this trade upheaval was the WTO was developed
as a 1995 successor to GATT. WTO is now "the only global international
organization dealing with trade between nations." WTO rules
and negotiations are decided and relegated by member countries,
and the results hopefully benefit producers of goods and services
in many countries.
Cora and
I liked the 10
Most Common Misunderstandings about the WTO. The thoughts
and ideas contained in this section stimulated more discussion
about world trade and its responsibilities. The WTO makes
no bones about their mission and the fact their agency isn't
a be-all and end-all to all world trade problems. We also
liked the transparency of their documents, and access to world
trade figures, both historic and current. We can use this
material to compare to other documents at the library?right
Cora?
"Mom!
What about vacation?"
Uh-oh!
How could I forget? Pack the bags! Cora and I are both free
from school, and we intend to do a little trading of our own:
cash for rental cars and airplane tickets. We won't stop our
summertime education, though - next week we'll continue to
uncover the importance of import/export demand in current
markets.
Until
Then,
Linda Goin
* Chafe,
William H., The Unfinished Journey: America Since World War
II, Oxford Press, 2003. This is a comprehensive college level
book, but one that's very easy to read, to understand, and
enjoy.
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