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Florida
and the 1920's
Brian
Trumbore
President/Editor, StocksandNews.com
Over four years ago I first ran the
following and thought it was appropriate to revisit
the topic today. Plus I added a few anecdotes from
a new source.
---
May
2003
There
has been a lot of talk recently about a potential
bubble in the real estate market. And it's not about
just the U.S., as Britain, which has a far stronger
history of booms and busts in this area, appears to
be near a major peak as well. But as Alan Greenspan
and the Federal Reserve do all they can to keep the
refinancing and housing booms in place, I thought
the following tale would be interesting, that of the
surge in Florida real estate in the years prior to
the 1929 crash. What follows is largely from the work
of the great market historian, the late Robert Sobel,
and his book "The Pursuit of Wealth."
In
the late 19th century Florida was mostly undeveloped.
Then Standard Oil tycoon Henry Flagler took an interest,
constructing a railroad on the east coast that he
hoped would lead to increased tourism. Flagler opened
the first hotel in Miami, the Royal Palm, in 1897
and by his death in 1913 the "state of the future"
was beginning to take shape, particularly as the citrus
industry took off.
Around
this time a New Jerseyan, John Collins, arrived on
the scene. He tried his hand at growing coconuts,
bananas, and other fruits, but nothing was working
out so he returned home. He did leave behind daughter
Katherine and her husband Thomas Pancoast to look
after the family interests. It was Pancoast who then
decided that Miami Beach, specifically, offered great
opportunities, but he needed to find a way to make
it more accessible.
Pancoast
wanted to build a bridge, but needed capital and a
partner. One day a fellow by the name of Carl Fisher
was speedboating in the area and stumbled upon some
of Pancoast's holdings. Fisher was in the auto industry
(though it's not the same family as today's Fisher
Auto Body) and he was a co- founder of the Indianapolis
Motor Speedway. Carl offered to finance the bridge
and then he advertised home sites in the area.
Miami
Beach was "a place to escape from winter," his ads
read, and he promised electricity and telephones,
city water and sewers, golf and fishing. Of course
initially we were talking about raw land, nothing
more. But by 1915, Fisher, Pancoast and Collins organized
the town of Miami Beach.
World
War I benefited Florida because the wealthy vacationed
there instead of Europe. The boom was coming and Fisher
and company initially focused on the rich, but with
the advent of the automobile and the surge in Model
Ts, Florida now seemed open to middle class America,
too, particularly as highway construction soared.
The
real estate boom, though, started slowly but by 1922
there was a surge in new investment. Land prices began
to skyrocket. It didn't hurt that Miami was the jumping
off point to Havana and Bimini. And why was this important?
Whisky, my friends.
Cuba
and Bimini were prime spots for whisky smugglers who
could buy, for example, a case of 24 fifths of Scotch
for $24 and resell it to tourists in Miami for $100-$120.
They in turn would resell it up north for $20 a fifth.
[Source: Sobel]
But
back to real estate, most of the activity was along
a 100-mile stretch from Palm Beach to Miami Beach.
Futuristic developers were able to turn their ideas
into reality. George Merrick, for example, designed
the upper middle class suburb of Coral Gables, a completely
planned community on the outskirts of Miami that included
country clubs, canals, shopping areas, transportation
and more.
As
for Carl Fisher, he was busy selling lots; $3 million
worth in 1923, then $8 million in '24 and $12 million
in '25. Others met similar success. Those who bought
in '23 could sell for 5-6Xs their original investment
just two years later.
"Why
stop at one lot?" asked the real estate agents. "Buy
several, sell off a few, and the rest would be free."
And, similar to today, agents back then accepted as
little as 5% down, on binder, then took another 25%
before the deal closed. But since the second payment
often took months, by the time it was required the
property could have doubled in value. This same process
might be repeated several times. Robert Sobel says
"It was as though a massive profit-laden chain letter
had been set in motion."
Following
is a real example of the advertising touting the opportunities,
with emphasis provided as it was originally written.
"This
is a straight-from-the-shoulder message to MY FRIENDS.
GET IT AND GET IT QUICK! I had to make a rush trip
to New York, and believe me, I am glad to be back
in time to get my friends in on the BEST THING YET?NOW
GET THIS QUICK! When I discovered Lake Stearns I know
I had found the best land in Florida. With me is Mr.
Walter T. Spaulding, President of the Spaulding Construction
Company of New York and Miami, a nationally known
constructor. He put his OWN money into this proposition
and will handle the construction of all utilities
at Lake Stearns.
"MR.
WALTER DUNHAM, a man of great vision, will direct
the selling campaign of this property to the public.
"These
two associates and I are going to PUT THIS OVER, and
YOU are COMING IN ON IT. YOU are coming in with me
on the fist $150,000 we are going to put in because
you KNOW ME and believe in my judgment. I want $5,000
out of you for this proposition. NOW DON'T WRITE ME.
I WON'T HAVE TIME TO SCRATCH A PEN. I have given you
the facts and am offering you a FINAL OPPORTUNITY
to get in RIGHT NOW. SEND ME YOUR CHECK and I will
put it in the BANK. This is a personal message from
me to YOU. You want to make some REAL MONEY now. Get
in and come on while the PROPOSITION IS HOT."
In
1925, an estimated $1 billion flowed into Florida
projects. Some of this capital was from Wall Street
speculators, who saw it as an opportunity to make
more than they already were in stocks. Small town
America was cashing in its savings and buying up lots
in Florida. Europeans also arrived, particularly when
stories emerged that Miami Beach was the next Monte
Carlo.
From
Maury Klein's "Rainbow End: The Crash of 1929":
"At
the peak of the boom in 1925 some 75,000 people clogged
(Miami's) overcrowded streets, including 25,000 agents
working out of 2,000 real estate offices?.
"(Writer
Gertrude Mathews Shelby) sniffed at once 'the smell
of money in Florida,' which 'became ripe and strong
last spring. The whole United States began to catch
whiffs of it. Pungent tales of immense quick wealth
carried far.'?.
"It
was the stories that drew them (from everywhere in
the country). One man picked up ocean frontage for
a quarter an acre and sold it for a million; another
reluctantly took 1,200 worthless acres on a debt and
couldn't sell it at $10 an acre until the boom delivered
him a whopping $1.2 million. A returning soldier traded
his overcoat for 10 worthless acres near the beach
and soon found it worth more than $25,000. A poor
woman who had bought a Miami lot back in 1896 for
$25 sold it during the boom for $150,000?.
"Once
on the scene, Shelby found it hard to keep her perspective.
'Again and again I declared that I had no intention
to buy, but nobody let me forget for an instant I
was a prospect.' But how to resist an epidemic? 'At
home I do not even play penny ante. Buying stocks
on margin would never occur to me. Yet, like thousands
of others, I suddenly became feverish to speculate.'
Within a month she had made $13,000 on a small purchase.
At one point a reputable firm offered her a city lot
for the surprisingly low price of $1,000. She looked
into it, found a large hole in the form of a rockpit,
and reflected 'on the credulous millions who buy lots
from plats without ever visiting the land!' One salesman,
surprised by her questions about a $3,500 lot, informed
her that 'those things don't matter. All Florida is
good. What you are really buying is?the climate. Or
the Gulf Stream.'?.
"Everywhere
the stories intoxicated (Shelby) as they did others.
'When I saw the sort of people who were making actual
money,' she admitted, 'my hesitation appeared ridiculous.'
A salesman told her scornfully, 'The people who have
made real fortunes check their brains before leaving
home. Buy anywhere. You can't lose.' But when she
returned home, her $13,000 profit vanished with a
telegram saying, 'Deal off. Title defective.' Still
Shelby thought the boom had 'many months at least
to run.' The Florida fever had created, in John Kenneth
Galbraith's words, 'a world inhabited not by people
who have to be persuaded to believe but by people
who want an excuse to believe.'"
But
by 1926, prices were leveling off and a cold wave
that winter dampened enthusiasm. Property values in
and around Miami were dropping for the first time.
Sales slowed and bank activity fell off sharply. "The
Florida boom has collapsed," wrote a writer for The
Nation in July. "The world's greatest poker game,
played with building lots instead of chips, is over.
And the players are now cashing in or paying up."
[Maury Klein]
Then
on September 18, disaster struck?.HURRICANE!!!!! Now
the last major storm to hit Florida had been back
in 1910, but there was little to damage then. It was
different this time. Between 370 and 390 died (I read
different figures), over 5,000 were injured, and property
damage was estimated to be in the neighborhood of
$80 million, a considerable sum for that time.
Reconstruction
resumed almost immediately, however, but then a second
big hurricane hit in 1928 and the land mania was officially
over. Of course it all would have ended a year later,
anyway, thanks to the Crash and the Depression.
One
final note, that famous crook, Charles Ponzi, scammed
more than a few poor souls himself selling underwater,
mosquito infested lots in Florida in the 1920s, all
while on bail pending appeal of his Ponzi scheme.
Wall
Street History returns next week with a few more thoughts
on real estate utilizing my vast library.
Brian
Trumbore
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