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Bre-X,
Part II
Brian
Trumbore
President/Editor, StocksandNews.com
We pick up our story on Bre-X, early
1997. Recall that at the end of '96, Bre-X was in
discussions with Barrick Gold Corp., while Placer
Dome was seeking permission from the Indonesian government
to make a competing offer for Bre-X's Busang property;
what one Wall Street analyst said had the potential
to be the world's largest gold deposit. Complicating
matters was the fact that under Indonesian law, while
foreigners could drill and develop mines, the actual
permit could only be held by an Indonesian citizen.
So partnerships were the name of the game and the
government normally took 10 percent of the earnings.
President Suharto signed off on every deal.
From
the Wall Street Journal, Jan. 15, 1997:
"Placer
Dome Inc. offered to acquire Bre-X Minerals Ltd. in
a stock swap valued at $4.5 billion, in an attempt
to thwart Barrick Gold Corp.'s bid to buy control
of Bre-X's big Busang gold discovery in Indonesia.
"The
latest offer pits two of the world's biggest gold
producers in a battle for control of what many describe
as the biggest gold discovery of the century. The
winner would rival South Africa's gold-mining titans
in terms of production.
"Placer
Dome said it's currently offering one share for every
share of Bre-X, subject to minor variations. Placer
Dome Tuesday closed at $20.625, off 75 cents, in New
York Stock Exchange composite trading, while Bre-X
jumped $1.50, or 9.5%, to $17.25 on the Nasdaq. [Bre-X's
all-time high was $28, post-split, Sept. '96.]
"Bre-X?said
it will respond to Placer's offer 'in due course,'
and that its 'highest priority remains providing the
best return for our shareholders, the Republic of
Indonesia and the Indonesian people.'"
Meanwhile,
Barrick said Placer's offer didn't impact their joint-
agreement with Bre-X; one they continued to keep under
wraps while the parties worked out details with the
Indonesian government.
"Barrick
had apparently locked up control of the Busang property
with behind-the-scenes maneuvering that won the support
of the Indonesian government. For example, former
U.S. President George Bush, acting as an adviser to
Barrick, wrote Indonesian President Suharto expressing
'respect' for Barrick, Mr. Bush's chief of staff confirms?.
"(Placer's)
move underscores the high value that mining companies
attach to Busang, a high-grade gold deposit that Placer
Dome estimated would cost $1.7 billion to develop
and could produce three or four million ounces of
gold a year. At that rate, a mine at Busang would
single-handedly produce more than all but a few gold
companies in the world."
[Ed.
Consolidation in the gold mining business was in full
bloom, back then. Newmont and Homestake were fighting
for control of Santa Fe Pacific Gold, to cite one
notable example.]
Placer
was rumored to be offering the Indonesian government
a 40% interest.
Wall
Street Journal, Feb. 18, 1997
"The
brawl over who will develop Indonesia's giant Busang
gold find has ended, with Bre-X Minerals Ltd. ?confirming
it has teamed up with Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold
Inc. of the U.S. and powerful Indonesian businessman
Mohamad 'Bob' Hasan.
"A
Bre-X statement Monday confirmed that the parties
had agreed to form a joint venture that will be 45%-owned
by Bre-X, 15%-owned by Freeport, which will operate
the new mine, and 40% by Indonesian interests, including
10% for the government and 30% for two companies controlled
by Mr. Hasan 'and their partners.'
"Bre-X
said Freeport will provide $400 million, or 25%, of
the construction costs and $1.2 billion in additional
funding.
"Also
on Monday, Bre-X increased its estimate of Busang's
gold reserves to nearly 71 million ounces from the
57-million-ounce figure it announced in November.
Many mining analysts believe Busang, on the island
of Borneo?may hold more than 100 million ounces, which
would make it one of the greatest gold deposits ever
found.
"With
the starting lineup set for developing Busang, the
next step is formal Indonesian government endorsement,
expected Tuesday, of the deal that Mr. Hasan, President
Suharto's confidant, has struck. Next will be due
diligence on the planned project by partners and bankers?.
[uh oh!]
"Although
there is no immediate sign of any obstacles to the
deal as announced Monday, one mining analyst suggested
that 'we haven't heard the last' from Busang's two
failed Canadian suitors: Barrick Gold Corp. and Placer
Dome Inc?.
"In
a statement Monday, Bre-X Chairman David G. Walsh
paid homage to Mr. Hasan for his role in setting up
what Mr. Walsh called a 'great day for both Bre-X
shareholders and the people of Indonesia.'"
The
following relies on Jennifer Wells's report for the
May 19, 1997 issue of Maclean's.
On
February 19, 1997, chairman Walsh and Bre-X geologist
John Felderhof, along with their two investment advisers
from J.P. Morgan in New York, held a conference call
with analysts to sell them on the Freeport deal.
"Morgan's
Doug McIntosh reviewed the economics of Busang, the
milling rate, the cash costs, the capital costs, all
based on Kilborn [Engineering's] intermediate feasibility
study. Felderhof allowed as to how he was 'comfortable'
with 200 million ounces as a resource estimate for
Busang. There was, he said, 'lots of blue sky.' Felderhof
went on to say that early discussions with Freeport
had gone smoothly. 'The more they look into this,
the more pleased they are by the excellency of the
data.' The company's due diligence, he said, might
take as little as 10 days."
Well,
this is kind of like watching a train wreck, isn't
it? And the situation is about to change, drastically.
Jennifer Wells continues:
"Rather
than being thrilled with the excellence of Bre-X's
results, Freeport had become very nervous very early.
'It was clear to me after asking questions for two
days that no one had ever done an independent analysis
of this project, and the Bre-X people had controlled
this project for three years and nobody had been allowed
to do independent drilling,' [Freeport chairman James]
Moffett said?There was no gold at the surface, no
'geochem halos,' no surface anomalies. When Freeport
drilled seven holes in the sweet spot of the southeast
zone, there was simply no gold at all."
"On
March 12, Moffett phoned Toronto, where Walsh and
Felderhof and [chief geologist Michael] de Guzman
were moving like royalty among the crowd at the Prospectors
and Developers convention. 'I hated to interrupt their
joy,' said Moffett?'But I informed them that they
needed to get somebody back to the job site because
we had run into difficulties.' Walsh was the first
to take the call. 'He started out by telling me that
he was a financial person and he didn't understand
all that stuff.' Walsh put Felderhof on the line.
Felderhof said there must be some mistake, a mix-up.
De Guzman was dispatched to the site. 'It was almost
a four-day wait,' said Moffett. 'Then, he didn't arrive
at all.'"
We'll
finish the story of one of the greatest stock swindles
in history next week.
Sources
for part II:
Wall
Street Journal
Maclean's
Canadian Broadcasting Corporation
Brian
Trumbore
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