|
John
Law and the Mississippi Company, Part 3
Brian
Trumbore
President/Editor, StocksandNews.com
Last week we delved into John Law's
monetary theories. Today it's time to move on to the
Mississippi Company bubble.
But
first, it's important to know that the 1713 Peace
of Utrecht marked the end of a terrible period for
France, one which saw it at war for basically 20 of
24 years, first against the League of Augsburg and
then in the War of the Spanish Succession. The French
treasury was bare and King Louis XIV had to deal with
staggering debts and a deep economic depression.
The
King, now age 75, was also troubled by the line of
succession to the throne. In the span of three years
leading up to peace he saw 3 heirs die. Finally, when
the King himself died in 1715, a 5-year-old grandson
assumed the throne. Of course he wasn't really running
the show, mind you, and instead a regent was appointed,
the Duc d'Orleans.
Now
this was most propitious for the subject of our series,
John Law; Law having made the acquaintance of Orleans
while gambling and carousing among the glitterati
of Paris. Author Janet Gleeson ("Millionaire") notes
that the two had much in common.
"They
were of similar age?both were handsome, athletically
built, and brilliant tennis players. Both enjoyed
extraordinary success with the opposite sex. Orleans
could outstrip even Law in his sexual conquests, although
power and position were on his side. His numerous
mistresses, whether stars of the opera, actresses
from the Comedie Francaise, serving girls, daughters
of diplomats, or, more rarely, aristocrats, were selected
for good humor, voracious appetites for banqueting,
drinking, and lovemaking, and lack of interest in
politics."
Huh.
Actually, aside from their shared interests in extracurricular
activities, what initially attracted Law to Orleans
in those early, pre-regent days, aside from the fact
he was the King's nephew, was the fact that Orleans
had the intellect to understand Law's monetary theories.
But
despite the connection, Law was unable to convince
King Louis XIV of the need to create a national bank.
Orleans attempted to arrange the meetings, but the
King never expressed an interest. [He was also upset
that Law wasn't a Catholic.]
Well,
following Louis's death on September 1, 1715, the
Duc took over and convinced parliament that he could
handle the ship of state until the Dauphin came of
age. For his part, Law fired off a letter to his friend.
"Your
Royal Highness will have no difficulty in reaping
success from what I have the honor of proposing, the
best actor is not the one with the largest role, but
the one who acts the best. I know my strengths and
I love pleasure too much to occupy myself in affairs
that I do not understand in depth." [Gleeson]
Law
earned a charter for his private bank, Banque Generale,
on May 2, 1716? "M. Law et sa Compagnie." While the
proposal for a true royal bank was rejected, Banque
Generale was in essence the first Bank of France.
Law owned about ? of the stock and together with the
Duc d'Orleans they owned 2/3s. Law picked the board
of directors, officers and employees.
As
historian Earl J. Hamilton noted, "No other national
bank in history?has ever been so completely dominated
by a single man."
The
bank got off to a slow start, as Law and his employees
just kind of milled about, when one day the Duc pulled
up in his carriage and deposited a substantial sum.
Word spread rapidly, Banque Generale was a going concern.
For
31 months the bank prospered and Law's operation developed
a solid reputation. Then on December 4, 1718 the bank
became Banque Royale, with the remaining shares outstanding
secretly purchased by the government.
The
bank was perfectly orthodox, issuing notes and receiving
deposits. Of course Law's monetary theories evolved
around the substitution of paper money for gold and
other coin. For a long while the notes held their
value, though the money issued by Bank Royale wasn't
backed by any real assets.
Meanwhile,
as the scope of the bank's operations spread to include
the whole of France, John Law chartered the Company
of the West in the summer of 1718. This was designed
to exploit the Louisiana territory, a region that
the people of France saw as having immense potential.
Soon,
Company of the West gained a monopoly on transportation
on the Mississippi River, importation of all goods,
manufacturing and the sale of tobacco from Louisiana.
Then by August 1719, Law's operation, formally now
known as the Mississippi Company (also 'Company of
the Indies,' but we'll stick with Mississippi Co.),
was given the rights to trade in the East Indies,
China, the South Seas and all possessions of French
East India Company. Law's first stock offering in
the new company was way oversubscribed, so he issued
a secondary. The attraction? Aside from the potential
for the company's holdings, particularly in the New
World, the Mississippi Company guaranteed its shareholders
an annual dividend of 40%.
The
shares could be purchased with bank notes, which had
been holding their value all this time, just as Law
had theorized years earlier, but by the fall of 1719
the stock began to skyrocket, often rising 10-20%
in the space of a few hours.
By
January 1720 shares had risen some 50-fold and speculators
flocked to Paris from all over Europe. Many families
sold their real estate holdings to purchase stock.
Of course you have to know this all ends very badly.
Since
Law's Bank Royale was buying and selling the shares,
in essence the Mississippi Company became the monetary
standard. The stock peaked and it was as if all at
once investors realized that the returns from Louisiana
and the other territories didn't match the promises.
For example, gold was nowhere to be found in the entire
territory.
By
late February sell orders outpaced buy tickets. Each
share had long been pegged to a set amount (9,000
francs) but then Law began maneuvering the peg in
an attempt to deflate the currency. On May 21 it was
announced the peg would deflate from 9,000 francs
to 5,000 by December 1720 on a sliding scale. Well,
all this did was set in place a panic as holders tried
to sell or spend before the peg set in. So on May
27 the Bank restored the old value.
This
flip-flop happened on more than one occasion so that
by mid-December all efforts had failed to keep the
Mississippi Company afloat, as Hamilton writes, "the
house of paper collapsed."
Essentially
what took place was that Law was issuing paper currency
to provide loans for the purchase of shares. Edward
Chancellor notes, "As the Mississippi shares rose
in value, more money was printed, producing an inflationary
spiral which pushed the share price from under 500
livres at the launch of the system to over 20,000
by late 1719."
New
fortunes were created, real estate values soared,
and the term "millionaire" came into being. And with
the speculative fervor spreading across the entire
continent, Europe experienced its first international
bull market.
Britain,
worried about a new French supremacy, countered with
the South Sea Company, an historic bubble in its own
right. [See archives.] British citizens bought the
Mississippi Company, continentals the South Sea Company.
A French banker by the name of Martin proclaimed,
"When the rest of the world are mad, we must imitate
them in some measure." [Charles Kindleberger]
During
the peak, John Law converted to Catholicism so he
could become Controller General of France. The English
ambassador to Paris observed, "There can be no doubt
of Law's Catholicity since he has?proved transubstantiation
by changing paper into money." [Edward Chancellor]
Law also owned 1/3 of the buildings around the new
Place Vendome and had at least a dozen rural estates.
And
Law being quite the ladies man, he became the object
of those seeking shares. Chancellor adds, "The Regent's
mother observed lewdly that if duchesses were prepared
to kiss Law's hand, what parts of his body might not
other ladies favor?"
But
after the bubble burst, thousands, if not millions,
of investors were ruined. Most received just 5% of
their original investment in the liquidation that
followed. The regent, Law's friend the Duc, helped
him flee the country, and as historian Norman Davies
notes, "France was permanently inoculated against
credit operations." Ironically, though, the commercial
aspects of the venture began to thrive and the value
of French overseas commerce quadrupled between 1716
and 1743.
And
it needs to be noted that John Law, who died broke
in Venice in 1729, was never accused of doing anything
illegal, which is why economist Joseph Schumpeter
could make his claim that Law was one of the greatest
monetarists of all time.
Charles
Kindleberger writes that Law's ventures "amounted
not so much to a swindle as a mistake, based on two
fallacies: (1) that stocks and bonds were money, and
(2) that issuing more money as demand increased was
not inflationary."
Recall
that France, post the War of the Spanish Succession,
was a financial basket case and Law restored confidence
and business activity across the land. The depression
that resulted from the collapse of Mississippi Company
was far less severe than that which preceded the formation
of his bank. And as the later trade figures showed,
John Law and his creations played a vital role in
transforming France into a commercial power.
But
for the last word we go to Charles Mackay, who in
his 1841 classic "Extraordinary Popular Delusions
& the Madness of Crowds" concluded that Law was no
rogue knave or madman, rather he was "one more deceived
than deceiving; more sinned against than sinning?.If
his system fell with a crash so tremendous, it was
not so much his fault as that of the people amongst
whom he had erected it."
Sources:
"Extraordinary
Popular Delusions & the Madness of Crowds" Charles
Mackay
"Millionaire" Janet Gleeson
"The Political Economy of France at the Time of John
Law" Earl J. Hamilton
"An Historical Study of Law's System" Andrew McFarland
Davis
"Devil Take the Hindmost" Edward Chancellor
"Europe: A History" Norman Davies
"25 Investment Classics" Leo Gough
Note:
Some of these sources were not utilized in Parts I
or II.
Wall
Street History will return next week.
Brian
Trumbore
|