Guided Tour
 View Your Account
 Shop for Stocks
 Research Stocks
 Educate Yourself
 Family Investing
 Retirement Focus
 Resource Center
 Our Strategy
 About Us
 Helpdesk
 Home
Google Custom Search
 



Archives
You Have Longer Than You Think
Charles B. Carlson, CFA
Contributing Editor, Dow Theory Forecasts

When investing in stocks, it's important to understand how you can control risk. The conventional way is to allocate your stock investments across a variety of groups, primarily large-company, small-company, and international stocks. This form of risk control is called "asset allocation."

A second way to control risk when owning stocks is to lengthen your investment time horizon. Volatility is a short-term measure of risk in stocks. Stock returns tend to be extremely volatile over short time frames. Indeed, historically, the spread of returns of stocks over a single year is quite wide. Fortunately, over longer holding periods, the volatility of stock returns decreases. Thus, holding stocks for 20 or 30 years should be a lot less risky, in terms of potential volatility of returns, than holding stocks for just one year. Think of this form of risk control as "time diversification."

Many investors don't take advantage of time diversification because they don't believe they have a lot of time. This is especially true of people at or near retirement age. Actually, you have more time than you think, which means you have the ability to own a healthy portion of stocks and control risk by taking a long-term time horizon.

Look at the numbers:

    A male who is currently 35 years old is expected to live another 40 years.
    A 45 year old male should live at least another 31 years.
    A 55-year old male is expected to live another 23 years.
    A 65-year old male's life expectancy is 15 years.
    A 75 year old male is expected to live at least another 10 years.

The life expectancy is even better for women:

    A 35 year old female is expected to live to at least age 81.
    A 45 year old female has a life expectancy of 36 more years.
    A 55 year old female should live to at least age 82.
    A 65 year old female has a life expectancy of 19 years.

A 75 year old female is expected to live to age 87.

As you can see, even at age 65, according to the actuarial kit supplied by Joshua Levy, you probably will live at least another 15 to 20 years, and maybe even longer. That's a long time, certainly long enough to have some exposure to stocks.

Bottom line: You have longer than you think. That means your money has to last longer and fend off the erosive effects of inflation longer. The only way your money can grow adequately and attempt to overcome inflation is by holding at least some of your assets in stocks.


The BUYandHOLD website contains links to third-party websites on the Internet. BUYandHOLD provides these links to these websites only as a convenience to users of the website. Links on the BUYandHOLD website are not endorsements by BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments, implied or express, of the linked sites or any products, services or links in such sites; and no information in such sites has been endorsed or approved by BUYandHOLD. Linked sites are not under the control of BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments, and we are not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site. No information contained in the BUYandHOLD website or accessed through any linked site, or any link contained in a linked site, constitutes a recommendation by BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument. Information accessed through linked sites is not, nor should be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities by BUYandHOLD or Freedom Investments. BUYandHOLD does not offer or provide any investment advice or opinion regarding the nature, potential, value, suitability or profitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy, and any investment decisions you make will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.

Copyright © 1999 – 2009 Freedom Investments. All Rights Reserved.
Freedom Investments, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC
Privacy & Security