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My brother
and I talked about investments the other day, because I was
curious about where he was headed with his portfolio. This
conversation may seem innocent on the surface, but I had two
ulterior motives. First, I wanted my daughter, Cora, to realize
that it's a good idea to talk to others about portfolio investments
for ideas and for reassurance. Secondly, I wanted to pick
my brother's brain, because his occupation is different than
mine and he has a different outlook on specific industries.
The first
motive, where I want to teach my daughter about investment
techniques, is slippery. The person who originally stated
"in one ear and out the other" was probably talking about
a teen. So, when a conversation like the one that occurred
this past week is finished, I always talk with her afterwards
to help reinforce great ideas (and, of course, these great
ideas are all mine).
The first
lesson was centered on listening to the message, not just
the words. If my brother invests in a certain company, does
that mean we also need to invest in that same company? The
answer is "no," especially if the company's equities are overpriced
and the volume is rising. What does this mean? Let's look
at how Cora and I hashed out this conversation:
1. If
the person we talk with touts a specific stock, we try to
discover more from this person's perspective. The company
that makes this product (or supplies a service) may also produce
other products (or services). What are they? Are they related
products, or are they diverse industries under one roof? How
much does this person know, and why is this information important
to them?
2. What
sector does this company fall under? If there are diverse
products or services, this information may mean that this
company is a conglomerate, and investments in this specific
company are similar to investments in a diverse portfolio.
However, this seeming diversity could also be a weakness,
especially if more than one product or service is represented
by low quality or low performance. Also, it isn't wise to
invest in just one company, even if it is a conglomerate,
because one bad apple could spoil the whole bunch (I'm just
full of clich?s today?). If the company only makes one product
or renders only one service, then it's easier to place them
in a sector. For instance, bottled water is under the food
and beverage sector.
3. When
did the person buy their stock in this company, and - if this
individual is forthcoming - we might learn the initial stock
price. If the person is investment-savvy, they may even tell
you about their investment's competitors. This information
is important, because competitors always try harder. Competitors
may be just as valuable and yet offer a lower stock price
per share.
4. Where
is this person headed with this particular investment and
why? If the price is high and the volume is rising in a specific
equity, then this means that the volume is composed of both
buyers AND sellers, and the demand for the stock is pushing
the price up (high volume and falling prices means that most
of the volume consists of sellers). If the board of directors
does not plan to split the stock anytime soon, the price may
begin to fall because buyers may view the equities as overvalued.
A stock split does not lower the value of the stock, but the
lower share price per share often appears more attractive
to buyers and just as often encourages sellers to hold on
to their shares.
What does
all this information mean to us? If we are unfamiliar with
a sector, this opens a door for further investigation. On
the other hand, if we understand this sector, this grants
us an opportunity to look at another category within that
sector. After Cora and I finished our conversation with my
brother, we went to a search engine and typed in "bottled
water." If you use Google, under the shaded blue division
on the search results page you'll find a link entitled, "News
results for bottled water - View all the latest headlines."
If you click on the first link specifically for bottled water,
you'll come to a page filled with headlines devoted to this
industry.
Most of
the news stories carry company names for bottled water products.
As we went through the stories, we kept a list of the companies
and the main points from each story. Then, we went back to
the search engine and typed in each company name to see if
we could learn more about the companies. After we marked a
few interesting companies that were on the market, we went
to BUYandHOLD to learn more about these investment prospects.
Our research gave us three companies to investigate further,
and we put these companies in our stock
tracker to watch their progress. This move also buys
us time to learn more about this particular industry, so we
can decide whether we really want to invest in this branch
of the food and beverage sector.
If you
don't have any investment-savvy relatives, try an investment
club. Nancy Dunnan wrote
an interesting answer to a person who inquired about
setting up such a club as a lesson for a school class. BUYandHOLD
also offers a way for adult investors to share information
through their View-Only
Access. These are just suggestions to open channels
of communication with others so we can learn more about investment
opportunities.
Of course,
I gave my brother a few leads, too. It's always nice to give
as well as receive. Next week we'll delve deeper into investment-savvy
relationships to see what else we can learn?
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
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